Stages of the Business Cycle
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| The red arrows denote a period of decreasing real GDP, while the blue arrows denote the opposite. |
-We do not know what stage we are in until it has passed, making peak and trough meaningless
-Each cycle is roughly 6 month units or 2 quarters
Expansionary (growth)
-real output in the economy is increasing and where unemployment rate is declining
-the bulk of a cycle
-the bulk of a cycle
Peak
-real output is at its highest point
-means things can only go downhill from there
-means things can only go downhill from there
Contractionary (a.k.a. recession)
-real output in the economy is decreasing and where the unemployment rate is rising
-if a recession loses more than 10% of real GDP, then it is classified as a depression
-last about 18 months
-if a recession loses more than 10% of real GDP, then it is classified as a depression
-last about 18 months
Trough
-where you reach your lowest point of real GDP
-means the end of a recession
-means the end of a recession

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