Tuesday, February 3, 2015

Step 13: Who's broke? (End of Unit 2)

Unemployment

-% of people who don't have a job but are part of the labor force

Labor Force

-# of people classified as either employed or unemployed

Unemployment Rate

-Calculated by:

[# of Unemployed/(# of Unemployed  +  # of Employed)]  x  100

-Not in the labor force:
  • kids
  • retired people
  • military personnel
  • mentally insane
  • incarcerated
  • stay @ home parents
  • full-time students
  • discouraged workers: anyone looking for work but has no job

Full Employment (FE)

-Occurs when there's no cyclical unemployment present in the economy
-Natural rate of Unemployment (NRU)  =  4-5%
-Achieved when labor markets are balanced

Pros and Cons to unemplyment

Pros:
-There is less pressure to raise wages
-More workers are available for expansion

Cons:
-Not enough consumption (GDP)
-Too much poverty
-Too much governmental assistance

Okun's Law

-for every 1% of unemployment above the natural rate of unemployment, causes a 2% decline in GDP

Structural Unemployment  +  Frictional Unemployment

Types of Unemployment

-Good/Okay
  • Frictional: Voluntary; b/t jobs b/c you choose a new lifestyle, opportunity, and/or education level
  • Seasonal: People wait for the right season to conduct their trade
-Bad
  • Cyclical: Associated w/ downturns in business cycles; bad for society and the individual
  • Structural: Associated w/ lack of skills or decline in industry or change in technology

Official Employment Statistics

Start with total population of the U.S.
-subtract those under 16
-subtract those in the armed forces
-subtract those that are institutionalized

This leaves the "Non Institutional Adult" population
-subtract those that are already retired
-subtract homemakers
-subtract full-time students over 16
-subtract the discouraged

This leaves the "Civilian Labor Force"
-count employed full or part-time
-count employed unpaid workers in the family business
-count those on sick leave, on strike, or on vacation
-count unemployed, but are actively looking for work

This becomes the "Unemployment Rate" in %
0 - 3% : overextended economy, war economy
4 - 5% : "Full Employment" Unemployment Rate (Efficient)
6 +% : "Weak" Economy or "Recession" Economy
25 % : Highest official unemployment rate in 1933

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